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Paper · arXiv

The Calibrated Deepfake Trust Score (CDTS): Competence-Coupled Trust Degradation Across Deepfake Detectors

In moderation, provenance, and verification pipelines a deepfake detector's output probability is read as a degree of trust, so its calibration matters as much as raw accuracy. We reframe deepfake detection as a calibrated, self-auditing trust instrument, the Calibrated Deepfake Trust Score (CDTS), and identify what governs its trustworthiness. Our central finding is a competence-trust coupling with a sharp division: the raw score's miscalibration tracks discriminative competence almost perfectly (r = -0.98, -0.98, -0.95 across two convolutional networks and a CLIP vision transformer), and a calibrator deployed without target labels fails with competence just as tightly (r = -0.98 on the ...

AuthorsMd Anas Biswas
Primary categorycs.CR
Published28 June 2026
Last updated at source11 August 2026
cs.CRcs.CVcs.LG
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