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Paper · arXiv

Rebuttals Move Peer-Review Scores, but Initial-Review Structure Bounds the Movement

Author rebuttals are the main post-submission window in peer review, but their effect on reviewer scores remains hard to measure because score updates mix rebuttal content with initial score position, paper-level consensus, reviewer confidence, and discussion dynamics. We study ICLR 2024-2025 using 73,000 reviewer trajectories with externally archived pre- and post-rebuttal scores, and use LLMs only as measurement instruments. Gemini Flash 3.0 predicts implied pre-rebuttal scores from score-stripped review text. The resulting text-score offset predicts later movement, with score-increase rates rising from 8.3% when text reads below the assigned score to 31.9% when it reads above. Claude O...

AuthorsMathieu Louis, Tibo Vanleke, Vincent Ginis et al.
Primary categorycs.DL
Published20 June 2026
Last updated at source20 June 2026
cs.DLcs.AIcs.LG
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