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Paper · arXiv

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting

Forecasting future events is a critical challenge for large language model (LLM) agents, spanning domains from elections and monetary policy to financial markets. However, evaluating progress on this task presents a fundamental trade-off between efficiency and environment fidelity. While live evaluation benchmarks suffer from an inherently slow feedback loop, existing retrospective replays typically restrict agents to static, pre-frozen databases that sacrifice the environmental realism of actual deployments. To tackle this issue, we introduce Agentic Time Machine (TM), an infrastructure that approximately reconstructs the web state at any chosen past time by filtering post-cutoff content...

AuthorsJingyi Chai, Bingyang Zheng, Xiangrui Liu et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published19 June 2026
Last updated at source19 June 2026
cs.AIcs.LG
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