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Paper · arXiv

Optimal Deterministic Multicalibration and Omniprediction

A model is multicalibrated on a collection of group weights $G$ if it is calibrated -- i.e. unbiased even conditional on its prediction -- not just overall, but also after reweighting contexts by each $g \in G$. It is a useful property for many downstream applications and is a basic desideratum of trustworthy machine learning. Before this work, all predictors known to attain the minimax-optimal $\widetilde O(\varepsilon^{-3})$ sample complexity rate for $\varepsilon$-multicalibration were randomized, while deterministic predictors were known only with substantially worse sample complexity. Whether randomization is necessary for optimal sample complexity in multicalibration was explicitly ...

AuthorsGeorgy Noarov, Aaron Roth
Primary categorycs.LG
Published18 June 2026
Last updated at source18 June 2026
cs.LGmath.STstat.ML
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