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Paper · arXiv

Measurement noise limits the advantage of nonlinear models over linear models in biomedical prediction

On biomedical tabular data, flexible models such as deep networks, gradient-boosted trees, and kernel methods are repeatedly matched or beaten by linear and logistic regression given the same features. The usual reaction is to treat this as a model-side shortfall, to be fixed with more data, a better architecture, or tuning, on the assumption that the nonlinear structure is there and the model has failed to capture it. We argue that these fixes cannot help when the binding limit is the measurement rather than the model, as it frequently is in biomedicine. Additive noise blurs the population-optimal predictor, and because blurring removes a function's fine, rapidly varying detail before it...

AuthorsMarc-Andre Schulz, Kerstin Ritter
Primary categorycs.LG
Published16 June 2026
Last updated at source16 June 2026
cs.LGq-bio.QMstat.ML
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