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Paper · arXiv

Bayesian-Agent: Posterior-Guided Skill Evolution Across LLM Agent Harnesses

LLM agents increasingly rely on prompts, tools, memory, SOPs, skills, and harness feedback, yet current self-evolution pipelines often update these assets through heuristic reflection or raw success counts. Such updates are brittle when trajectories are sparse, expensive, and context-dependent. We introduce Bayesian-Agent, a native and cross-harness framework that treats reusable agent skills as Bayesian evidence objects. Bayesian-Agent records verified trajectories, maintains posterior beliefs over skill reliability and failure modes, and turns those beliefs into auditable skill actions and model-facing guardrails. This posterior view provides a finite-sample alternative to raw empirical...

AuthorsXiaojun Wu, Cehao Yang, Honghao Liu et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published6 June 2026
Last updated at source11 August 2026
cs.CL
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