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Paper · arXiv

Temporal Coverage over Density: Parsimonious Training-Set Design for ML Climate Downscaling

High-resolution regional climate simulations provide critical information for climate impacts assessments but remain computationally expensive, motivating the development of machine-learning downscalers and emulators. A key challenge is determining how limited high-resolution simulations should be distributed across a changing climate trajectory to capture both forced climate response and internal variability. Using the CESM2 Large Ensemble over the western United States, we compare three training-year selection strategies under fixed data budgets: a contiguous block of historical years, years drawn from both the beginning and end of the simulation period, and years distributed throughout...

AuthorsKarandeep Singh, Stefan Rahimi, Chad W. Thackeray et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published5 June 2026
Last updated at source5 June 2026
cs.LGcs.CE
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