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Paper · arXiv

The Routing Plateau: Understanding the Accuracy Limits of LLM Routers

LLM routing has become a popular approach to improve the cost-quality trade-off of LLM services by adaptively selecting a model for each query. Recent work has explored a broad range of routing methods, including clustering-based routers, learned classifiers, pairwise ranking, and confidence-based approaches. Our extensive study of 21 routing methods across five benchmarks reveals a consistent phenomenon that we call the routing plateau (Fig. 1): many methods, including kNN, achieve very similar accuracy and converge to a narrow performance range that remains far below the oracle router. Our analysis supports a correctness-prediction bottleneck hypothesis: current routers primarily learn ...

AuthorsYifan Lu, Qiyue Zhang, Shenrun Zhang et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published27 May 2026
Last updated at source28 September 2026
cs.LG
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