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Paper · arXiv

Boundary Variance Inflation Causes Acquisition Bias in Gaussian Processes

Gaussian processes with stationary kernels on bounded domains exhibit inflated posterior variance near the boundary. Despite being a long-recognized artifact in geostatistics and a source of over-exploration in Bayesian optimization, the causes and effects of boundary-induced acquisition bias are underexplored. We trace the root cause to a simple geometric mechanism: the truncation of the kernel correlation neighborhood at the domain boundary creates an observation-independent distortion that worsens with dimensionality. We show how this distortion manifests across three acquisition classes: variance maximization concentrates selections at the corners, whereas negative integrated posterio...

AuthorsMaria Bånkestad, Sanna Jarl, Jens Sjölund
Primary categorycs.LG
Published25 May 2026
Last updated at source25 May 2026
cs.LGstat.MEstat.ML
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