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Paper · arXiv

Reconciling Causality and Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamics with Hamiltonian Causal Models

Causal modeling of physical temporal phenomena must handle interventions that act along trajectories, nonstationary induced laws, path-dependent effects, and feedback mediated by dynamics, all challenging in standard causal models. We introduce Hamiltonian Causal Models (HCMs), a trajectory-level framework in which observed variables interact with local environments and interventions act as controls of Hamiltonian mechanisms. HCMs separate immutable equations of motion from intervenable mechanisms and define causal effects as discrepancies between interventional path laws. A key motivation for HCMs is their natural interface with non-equilibrium thermodynamics. Entropy production quantifi...

AuthorsDario Rancati, Max Welling, Francesco Locatello
Primary categorycs.LG
Published3 June 2026
Last updated at source3 June 2026
cs.LG
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