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Paper · arXiv

Variance Reduction for Heavy-Tailed Monetization Metrics in Ranking Experiments via Post-Stratification

Online evaluation of ranking and retrieval systems often relies on downstream monetization metrics such as app revenue or creator earnings. These metrics are typically heavy-tailed, with a small fraction of users dominating both mean and variance, leading to low statistical power and unreliable conclusions in A/B experiments -- especially under limited traffic. We present a practical framework for variance reduction in online experiments by combining post-stratification with CUPED. Our approach leverages pre-experiment covariates to improve the sensitivity of monetization experiments without requiring additional traffic. Deployed at ShareChat across ranking-driven monetization experiments...

AuthorsNeeti Pokharna, Olivier Jeunen, Yatharth Saraf et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published2 June 2026
Last updated at source2 June 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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