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Paper · arXiv

Privacy-Robust Incrementality Measurement for Advertising Systems under Signal Loss

Advertising platforms use randomized lift tests to measure incrementality, but privacy-preserving reporting systems degrade the observed signal through match-rate loss, linkability loss, attribution-window loss, aggregation-threshold suppression, randomized reporting noise, and segment-heterogeneous signal loss. This paper formulates privacy-constrained advertising measurement as a robust causal decision problem under the mentioned signal losses. Given a randomized experiment and an ambiguity set for privacy-induced degradation, the framework projects the observation-compatible fiber of clean/unfiltered experimental worlds onto the incrementality functional and returns certified, rejected...

AuthorsPrashant Shekhar, Caroline Howard
Primary categorystat.ML
Published2 June 2026
Last updated at source2 June 2026
stat.MLcs.LG
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