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Paper · arXiv

Evaluating Transformer and LSTM Frameworks for Prediction in Ungauged Basins

Watershed networks exhibit convergent topologies in which multiple tributaries merge into downstream channels,integrating diverse upstream hydrological processes. In ungauged basins, the absence of direct observations increases uncertainty and limits the ability to anticipate extreme events. This study evaluates whether an encoder-only Transformer provides an advantage over an LSTM for upstream streamflow inference under limited hydrologic information, using retrospective simulations from the NOAA National Water Model (NWM). Across both upstream-only and combined configurations, the LSTM showed stronger overall performance than the Transformer model across the two configurations. Incorpor...

AuthorsTaye Akinrele, James Halgren, Noorbakhsh Amiri Golilarz et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published1 June 2026
Last updated at source1 June 2026
cs.AI
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