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Paper · arXiv

Towards Regret Guarantees for One-Step Lookahead Bayesian Optimization

This paper studies theoretical guarantees of a one-step lookahead Bayesian optimization (BO) method. Although the empirical effectiveness of one-step lookahead BO methods, such as entropy search, has been studied extensively, they often rely on computationally intractable approximations, and their regret guarantees remain underdeveloped. Thus, this paper analyzes a one-step lookahead BO method, which we refer to as optimal-point variance reduction (OVR), that requires only posterior sampling and Monte Carlo approximations. We obtain a uniform Monte Carlo estimation error bound over an input domain in an acquisition function computation. Furthermore, we show that the regularized OVR, with ...

AuthorsShion Takeno
Primary categorycs.LG
Published31 May 2026
Last updated at source7 October 2026
cs.LG
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