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Paper · arXiv

Causal Label Recovery in Payment Networks

Fraud detection models in payment networks train on chargeback labels that are systematically biased. Every label must survive three sequential gates: authorization (declined transactions generate no labels), issuer reporting (unreported fraud is invisible), and delay (pending chargebacks are missing at training time). Labels that do arrive may be corrupted by first-party misuse or issuer misclassification. A companion paper [arXiv:2605.27557] proved that these four impairments impose a minimax lower bound on detection performance. This paper asks: can that bound be achieved? We formalize the observation pipeline as a sequential missing-data problem with three propensity stages and a corr...

AuthorsGaurav Dhama
Primary categorycs.LG
Published28 May 2026
Last updated at source28 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AIstat.ML
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