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Paper · arXiv

Gradient-Flow Optimization as Dynamic Random-Effects Inference: Testing and Early Stopping with Applications to Deep Learning

Gradient-flow optimization is usually viewed as an algorithmic procedure for minimizing empirical loss, with training duration selected by validation or heuristic early stopping rules. We develop a statistical inference framework for gradient-flow training. We show that whenever fitted values evolve through a time-invariant positive semidefinite training operator, the output at each time is equivalent to the best linear unbiased predictor under a corresponding random-effects model. Training time then becomes a variance-component parameter governing variance reallocation from residual noise to structured signal. This turns two training decisions into inferential problems: whether training ...

AuthorsMinhao Yao, Ruoyu Wang, Xihong Lin et al.
Primary categorystat.ML
Published27 May 2026
Last updated at source3 July 2026
stat.MLcs.LG
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