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Paper · arXiv

Variational Inference for Evidential Deep Learning

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve remarkable performance, their tendency to produce overconfident predictions. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) mitigates this by formulating predictions as a Dirichlet distribution over class probabilities to explicitly quantify epistemic uncertainty. However, we found that the conventional EDL suffers from two fundamental limitations: a Kullback-Leibler (KL) penalty that only suppresses the evidence of negative classes, producing excessively high evidence therefore decreasing the model's ability to quantify uncertainty, and an absence in theoretical guarantee of setting Dirichlet parameter $α=e+1$. In this paper, we propose a mathematically principl...

AuthorsJiawei Tang, Xinyan Du, Hui Liu et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published26 May 2026
Last updated at source17 July 2026
cs.LG
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