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Paper · arXiv

Beyond Differences: Doubly Robust Meta-Learners for Ratio-Based Treatment Effects

When treatment effects are naturally expressed as ratios -- as in medicine, pricing, and marketing -- the ratio-based CATE $τ(x) = E[Y|W=1,X=x] / E[Y|W=0,X=x]$ is the appropriate estimand. Yet existing estimators either impose a log-linear parametric structure or apply generic regression without robustness guarantees for this functional. We introduce the Q-Learner, which decomposes $τ(x)$ into a product of two odds ratios, reducing ratio-CATE estimation for binary outcomes to two propensity classification tasks. We further derive doubly robust augmentations for both S/T- and Q-style ratio learners and characterize their distinct robustness properties. In benchmarks on seven RCT datasets, ...

AuthorsMichael Fuchs, Dominik Kreiss
Primary categorystat.ML
Published25 May 2026
Last updated at source25 May 2026
stat.MLcs.LGstat.ME
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