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Paper · arXiv

Goal-driven Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design for Robust Decision-Making Under Model Uncertainty

Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) selects experiments to maximize information gain about model parameters. However, in decision-critical settings, reducing parameter uncertainty does not necessarily improve downstream decisions, as only specific parameter directions relevant to the objective truly matter. We propose GoBOED, a goal-driven BOED framework that directly optimizes experimental designs for a specified decision-making objective. GoBOED combines an amortized variational posterior surrogate with a differentiable convex decision layer, enabling gradient-based design optimization that is fully decision-focused. We theoretically show that GoBOED gradients are insensitive to...

AuthorsJinwoo Go, Xiaoning Qian, Byung-Jun Yoon
Primary categorycs.LG
Published25 May 2026
Last updated at source25 May 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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