PolyGnosis 2.0: Enhancing LLM Reasoning via Agentic Harness Engineering for Polymarket and OSINT Insight Extraction
This paper introduces PolyGnosis 2.0, a pioneering multi-agent architecture designed to extract predictive intelligence by synthesizing Polymarket anomaly signals with global Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) streams, specifically Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT). We define and target "Perspective Mismatches", the narrative divergence between Polymarket sentiment and global media flows, as high-alpha trading signals. Moving beyond generic agentic superiority, we rigorously quantify the efficacy of "Harness Engineering" techniques, including reflection loops, tool-calling, divide-and-conquer partitioning (D&C), and chain-of-thought (CoT), within high-noise financial dom...
| Authors | Daren Wang, Hong Xu, Jiawen Xian |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.CL |
| Published | 25 May 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 25 May 2026 |
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