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Paper · arXiv

Predicting Stock Price Direction on Earnings Announcement Days using Multi-modal Deep Learning

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm fundamentals, and recent market dynamics jointly predict the directional price movement of equities on EA days. We construct a multi-modal feature space combining 15 fundamental metrics, 3 price-based technical indicators and sentiment scores derived from financial news articles processed using FinBERT. We compare a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and a Transformer-based architecture against a logistic regression baseline, and further assess all models with a...

AuthorsManuel Noseda, Nathan Soldati, Marco Paina
Primary categorycs.LG
Published25 May 2026
Last updated at source25 May 2026
cs.LGq-fin.ST
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