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Paper · arXiv

AME-TS: Anchored Mixture-of-Experts for Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting models are increasingly scaled through large Transformer backbones, yet most existing approaches process all series through a shared dense computation path despite substantial heterogeneity in temporal structure. Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) offers a natural alternative by enabling conditional computation, but standard MoE routing leaves expert specialization weakly identified and often unstable during downstream adaptation. We propose AME-TS, a structure-guided sparse time series foundation model that aligns expert routing with interpretable temporal structure. AME-TS first uses a lightweight regime predictor to estimate series-level descriptors, including forecastabi...

AuthorsRui Wang, Renhao Xue, Ray Razi et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published24 May 2026
Last updated at source24 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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