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Paper · arXiv

PaP-NF: Probabilistic Long-Term Time Series Forecasting via Prefix-as-Prompt Reprogramming and Normalizing Flows

Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex future behaviors, making single-point predictions insufficient. This highlights the need for probabilistic forecasting methods that can quantify and represent uncertainty. In this work, we propose PaP-NF, a probabilistic forecasting framework that aligns continuous time series representations with a frozen large language model (LLM) using a Prefix-as-Prompt mechanism, and conditions a normalizing flow decoder on the global context extracted by the LLM. ...

AuthorsMinju Kim, Youngbum Hur
Primary categorycs.LG
Published22 May 2026
Last updated at source22 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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