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Paper · arXiv

Reinforcement Learning over Predictive Distributions for LLM Regression

Large language models (LLMs) have emerged as flexible regressors capable of predicting real-valued quantities from heterogeneous inputs. Yet most LLM regression objectives optimize predictions independently, often yielding poor calibration. We introduce Distribution-Aware Reward (DAR), an on-policy reinforcement learning objective that instead jointly evaluates the empirical predictive distribution formed by multiple predictions for the same input. To translate this distribution-level objective into rollout-level rewards, we assign each prediction credit based on its leave-one-out contribution to the quality of the overall predictive distribution. This encourages predictions that are well...

AuthorsJungsoo Park, Hyungjoo Chae, Ethan Mendes et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published20 May 2026
Last updated at source6 October 2026
cs.LGcs.AIcs.CL
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