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Paper · arXiv

Dynamic TMoE: A Drift-Aware Dynamic Mixture of Experts Framework for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting

Non-stationary time series forecasting is challenged by evolving distribution shifts that static models struggle to capture. While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures offer a promising paradigm for decoupling complex drift patterns, existing approaches are limited by fixed expert pools and memoryless routing, hampering their ability to adapt to abrupt regime shifts. To address this, we propose Dynamic TMoE, a framework that unifies architectural evolution with temporal continuity during learning phase. By detecting distribution shifts via Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), we dynamically instantiate heterogeneous experts and prune redundant ones to optimize capacity. Additionally, a tempo...

AuthorsJiawen Zhu, Shuhan Liu, Di Weng et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published20 May 2026
Last updated at source20 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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