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Paper · arXiv

ECUAS$_n$: A family of metrics for principled evaluation of uncertainty-augmented systems

In high-stakes automated decision-making, access to predictive uncertainty is essential for enabling users -- human or downstream systems -- to accept or reject predictions based on application-specific cost trade-offs. Such uncertainty-augmented (UA) systems -- i.e., systems that output both predictions and uncertainty scores -- are currently being assessed in the literature in a variety of ways, using separate metrics to evaluate the predictions and the uncertainty scores, setting a cost function with a fixed rejection cost or integrating over a coverage-risk curve. We argue that these evaluation approaches are inadequate for assessing overall performance of the UA system for decision m...

AuthorsLautaro Estienne, Erik Ernst, Matías Vera et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published19 May 2026
Last updated at source22 May 2026
cs.AIcs.LG
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