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Paper · arXiv

Efficient Conditioning Why Pseudo Observation Batch Bayesian Optimization Works When It Does not

Constant Liar (CL), Kriging Believer (KB), and fantasy models are widely used for batch selection in parallel Bayesian Optimization, yet a unified theory explaining their effectiveness and conditions under which they fail has been lacking. We identify efficient conditioning as the key surrogate property the ability to update predictions in closed form when data is augmented. We prove that Gaussian Processes satisfy this requirement, producing provably distinct batch points with separation of order l, and that this holds for any acquisition function monotonically non decreasing in posterior uncertainty (EI, UCB, PI), with qualitatively similar behavior for Thompson Sampling. We unify CL, K...

AuthorsKumbha Nagaswetha, Rabi Pathak
Primary categorycs.LG
Published12 May 2026
Last updated at source12 May 2026
cs.LG
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