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Paper · arXiv

SurvivalPFN: Amortizing Survival Prediction via In-Context Bayesian Inference

Survival analysis provides a powerful statistical framework for modeling time-to-event outcomes in the presence of censoring. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from the many specialized survival approaches often requires substantial methodological and domain expertise. We introduce SurvivalPFN, a prior-data fitted network that amortizes Bayesian inference for censored observations through in-context learning. SurvivalPFN is pretrained on a diverse family of synthetic, identifiable, and right-censored data-generating processes, enabling it to amortize survival analysis in a single forward pass during inference. As a result, the model adapts to the effective complexity of each dat...

AuthorsShi-ang Qi, Vahid Balazadeh, Michael Cooper et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published15 May 2026
Last updated at source15 May 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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