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Paper · arXiv

An Interpretable Latency Model for Speculative Decoding in LLM Serving

Speculative decoding (SD) accelerates large language model (LLM) inference by using a smaller draft model to propose multiple tokens that are verified by a larger target model in parallel. While prior work demonstrates substantial speedups in isolated or fixed-batch settings, the behavior of SD in production serving systems remains poorly understood: request load varies over time, and effective batch size emerges from the serving system rather than being directly controlled or observed. In this work, we develop a simple and interpretable latency model for SD in LLM serving. We infer effective batch size from request rate using Little's Law and decompose per-request demand into load-indepe...

AuthorsLinghao Kong, Megan Flynn, Michael Peng et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published14 May 2026
Last updated at source14 May 2026
cs.LGcs.PF
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