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Paper · arXiv

Inducing Artificial Uncertainty in Language Models

In safety-critical applications, language models should be able to characterize their uncertainty with meaningful probabilities. Many uncertainty quantification approaches require supervised data; however, finding suitable unseen challenging data is increasingly difficult for large language models trained on vast amounts of scraped data. If the model is consistently (and correctly) confident in its predictions, the uncertainty quantification method may consistently overestimate confidence on new and unfamiliar data. Finding data which exhibits enough uncertainty to train supervised uncertainty quantification methods for high-performance models may therefore be challenging, and will increa...

AuthorsSophia Hager, Simon Zeng, Nicholas Andrews
Primary categorycs.CL
Published13 May 2026
Last updated at source13 May 2026
cs.CL
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