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Paper · arXiv

The Expressivity Boundary of Probabilistic Circuits: A Comparison with Large Language Models

Probabilistic Circuits (PCs) are deep generative models that support exact and efficient probabilistic inference. Yet in autoregressive language modeling, PCs still lag behind Transformer-based large language models (LLMs), suggesting an important expressivity gap. In this work, we compare PCs and LLMs under a unified autoregressive formulation. First, an output bottleneck: PCs parameterize predictions as convex combinations in probability space, which struggles to represent the sharp distributions typical of language; adopting a logit-space parameterization substantially narrows this gap. Second, a context-encoding bottleneck: we prove that structured-decomposable PCs can match Transform...

AuthorsZhiyu Zhao, Xuejie Liu, Muhan Zhang et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published13 May 2026
Last updated at source13 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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