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Paper · arXiv

Causal Parametric Drift Simulation: A Digital Twin Framework for Classifier Robustness Evaluation

Machine learning classifiers in dynamic environments face concept drift -- changes in the data-generating process that degrade performance. Conventional evaluation via static test sets or noise perturbations fails to preserve causal dependencies in tabular data, often producing causally invalid assessments. Post-hoc tools like SHAP and LIME offer correlational insights that may not reflect the causal mechanisms driving model failure. We propose a framework that complements existing drift detection by leveraging Structural Causal Models as "Digital Twins" of data-generating processes, enabling precise causal interventions while preserving structural dependencies. Our technique, Causal Para...

AuthorsJulien Lafrance, Richard Khoury, Véronique Tremblay
Primary categorycs.LG
Published10 May 2026
Last updated at source10 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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