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Paper · arXiv

The Geometry of Forgetting: Temporal Knowledge Drift as an Independent Axis in LLM Representations

Large language models confidently produce outdated answers, and no existing method can detect them. We show this is not an engineering failure but a structural one: temporal drift, whether a stored fact has changed since training, is encoded as a direction in the residual stream geometrically orthogonal to both correctness and uncertainty. Any method operating on correctness or uncertainty signals is therefore blind to drift by construction. We verify this across six instruction-tuned models. A linear probe trained directly on drift labels achieves AUROC $0.83$--$0.95$; methods based on token entropy, semantic entropy, CCS, and SAPLMA all remain near chance ($0.49$--$0.57$). Five tests co...

AuthorsRania Elbadry, Ahmed Heakl, Fan Zhang et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published9 May 2026
Last updated at source9 May 2026
cs.AI
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