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Paper · arXiv

When Can Human-AI Teams Outperform Individuals? Tight Bounds with Impossibility Guarantees

Human-AI teams fail to outperform their best member in 70% of studies, yet no theory specifies when complementarity is achievable. We derive tight bounds for the broad class of confidence-based aggregation rules by integrating signal detection theory with information-theoretic analysis, yielding four results: (1) a complementarity theorem (teams outperform individuals iff error correlation $ρ_{HM} < ρ^*$, with $ρ^* \approx a$ in the symmetric near-chance regime); (2) minimax bounds showing gains scale as $Θ(\sqrt{Δd})$ with metacognitive sensitivity difference; (3) an impossibility result proving no confidence-based aggregation rule achieves complementarity when $ρ_{HM} \geq ρ^*$; and (4)...

AuthorsDongxin Guo, Jikun Wu, Siu-Ming Yiu
Primary categorycs.AI
Published9 May 2026
Last updated at source9 May 2026
cs.AI
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