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Paper · arXiv

What If We Let Forecasting Forget? A Sparse Bottleneck for Cross-Variable Dependencies

Multivariate time series forecasting is critical in many real-world systems, and thus modeling cross-channel dependencies is essential. Although existing methods improve overall accuracy by enhancing representations and cross-channel interactions, it remains challenging to reliably capture inter-variable dependencies under specific conditions. We observe that dependencies in real data are often state-dependent and noisy; in such cases, dense interactions can amplify spurious correlations and lead to representation over-smoothing, which may yield unreliable predictions in certain scenarios. Motivated by this, we propose MS-FLOW, a sparse-bottleneck framework that explicitly models inter-va...

AuthorsFan Zhang, Shiming Fan, Hua Wang
Primary categorycs.LG
Published8 May 2026
Last updated at source8 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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