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Paper · arXiv

Distributional Spectral Diagnostics for Localizing Grokking Transitions

In grokking, a model first fits the training data while test accuracy remains low, and only later begins to generalize. We ask whether this transition can be localized from observed training trajectories before the test accuracy rises, and formulate grokking transition localization as a diagnostic problem with an explicit threshold/FPR/lead-time trade-off. Task-dependent observables are summarized as empirical distributions, mapped to Wasserstein/quantile coordinates, and analyzed by Hankel dynamic mode decomposition (DMD); the resulting reconstruction residual, together with spectrum and effective rank, forms the diagnostic output. On held-out modular-addition Transformer runs, the resid...

AuthorsZiyue Wang, Yufeng Ying, Takafumi Kanamori
Primary categorycs.LG
Published7 May 2026
Last updated at source7 May 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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