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Paper · arXiv

TabCF: Distributional Control Function Estimation with Tabular Foundation Models

Instrumental variable (IV) and control function (CF) methods are powerful tools for causal effect estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, yet most existing approaches target only mean effects and/or demand substantial fitting and tuning effort. In this paper, we introduce a simple method, TabCF, for control function regression using tabular foundation models, which enables accurate, fast, identification-transparent, and tuning-light causal estimation of distributional quantities, such as interventional means and quantiles; we also propose a copula-based approximation for multivariate outcomes. TabCF performs favorably against representative methods across a broad range of sm...

AuthorsGeping Chen, Chunlin Li, Tianzhong Yang et al.
Primary categorystat.ML
Published7 May 2026
Last updated at source7 May 2026
stat.MLcs.LGstat.MEstat.OT
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