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Paper · arXiv

Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models

This paper develops a statistical theory of extrapolation for large language models, by reinterpreting them through pre-post-additive noise models. In contrast to the standard autoregressive next-token prediction based on an exact prefix, we introduce a perturbation-based procedure that first transforms the prefix into a semantic neighbour and then conditions on this perturbed variant for next-token prediction. This yields a hierarchical model with a pre-post-additive noise structure. Within this framework, we develop a rigorous theory of extrapolability, namely, the capacity of a model class to make reliable predictions for token sequences that lie outside the empirical support of the tr...

AuthorsZetai Cen, Jin Zhu, Xinwei Shen et al.
Primary categorystat.ML
Published5 May 2026
Last updated at source20 July 2026
stat.MLcs.LGmath.ST
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