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Paper · arXiv

From Data Lifting to Continuous Risk Estimation: A Process-Aware Pipeline for Predictive Monitoring of Clinical Pathways

This paper presents a reproducible and process-aware pipeline for predictive monitoring of clinical pathways. The approach integrates data lifting, temporal reconstruction, event log construction, prefix-based representations, and predictive modeling to support continuous reasoning on partially observed patient trajectories, overcoming the limitations of traditional retrospective process mining. The framework is evaluated on COVID-19 clinical pathways using ICU admission as the prediction target, considering 4,479 patient cases and 46,804 prefixes. Predictive models are trained and evaluated using a case-level split, with 896 patients in the test set. Logistic Regression achieves the best...

AuthorsPasquale Ardimento, Mario Luca Bernardi, Marta Cimitile et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published5 May 2026
Last updated at source12 May 2026
cs.LGcs.SE
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