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Paper · arXiv

CHASE: Competing Hypotheses for Ambiguity-Aware Selective Prediction

Standard selective prediction methods typically estimate uncertainty from the output of a single predictive branch. While effective for general uncertainty estimation, these approaches often struggle under partial observability, where local temporal evidence can be contradictory and standard confidence scores become misleading. We introduce CHASE (Competing Hypotheses for Ambiguity-Aware Selective Prediction), a selective prediction framework that explicitly compares structured temporal explanations to determine whether to commit to a decision or abstain. Because genuine ambiguity causes the score gap between competing hypotheses to collapse, CHASE optimizes a ranking-aware selector over ...

AuthorsKartik Jhawar, Yuhao Geng, Atul N. Parikh et al.
Primary categorycs.CV
Published2 May 2026
Last updated at source4 August 2026
cs.CV
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