Context-Aware Hospitalization Forecasting Evaluations for Decision Support using LLMs

Medical and public health experts must make real-time resource decisions, such as expanding hospital bed capacity, based on projected hospitalization trends during large-scale healthcare disruptions (e.g., operational failures or pandemics). Forecasting models can assist in this task by analyzing large volumes of resource-related data at the facility level, but they must be reliable for decision-making under real-world data conditions. Recent work shows that large language models (LLMs) can incorporate richer forms of context into numerical forecasting. Whereas traditional models rely primarily on temporal context (i.e., past observations), LLMs can also leverage non-temporal public healt...

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