The Existential Theory of Research: Why Discovery Is Hard

Can scientific discovery be made arbitrarily easy by choosing the right representation, collecting enough data, and deploying sufficiently powerful algorithms? This paper argues that the answer is fundamentally negative. We introduce the Existential Theory of Research (ETR), a formal framework that models discovery as the recovery of structured explanations under constraints of representation, observation, and computation. Within this framework, we show that these three components cannot be simultaneously optimized: no method can guarantee universally simple explanations, arbitrarily compressed observations, and efficient exact inference. This limitation is not model-specific, but arises ...

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