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Paper · arXiv

EVPO: Explained Variance Policy Optimization for Adaptive Critic Utilization in LLM Post-Training

Reinforcement learning (RL) for LLM post-training faces a fundamental design choice: whether to use a learned critic as a baseline for policy optimization. Classical theory favors critic-based methods such as PPO for variance reduction, yet critic-free alternatives like GRPO have gained widespread adoption due to their simplicity and competitive performance. We show that in sparse-reward settings, a learned critic can inject estimation noise that exceeds the state signal it captures, increasing rather than reducing advantage variance. By casting baseline selection as a Kalman filtering problem, we unify PPO and GRPO as two extremes of the Kalman gain and prove that explained variance (EV)...

AuthorsChengjun Pan, Shichun Liu, Jiahang Lin et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published21 April 2026
Last updated at source21 April 2026
cs.LGcs.AIcs.CL
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