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Paper · arXiv

Analytical Extraction of Conditional Sobol' Indices via Basis Decomposition of Polynomial Chaos Expansions

In uncertainty quantification, evaluating sensitivity measures under specific conditions (i.e., conditional Sobol' indices) is essential for systems with parameterized responses, such as spatial fields or varying operating conditions. Traditional approaches often rely on point-wise modeling, which is computationally expensive and may lack consistency across the parameter space. This paper demonstrates that for a pre-trained global Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) model, the analytical conditional Sobol' indices are inherently embedded within its basis functions. By leveraging the tensor-product property of PCE bases, we reformulate the global expansion into a set of analytical coefficient...

AuthorsShijie Zhong, Jiangfeng Fu
Primary categorystat.ML
Published21 April 2026
Last updated at source21 April 2026
stat.MLcs.LGmath.NA
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