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Paper · arXiv

IDOBE: Infectious Disease Outbreak forecasting Benchmark Ecosystem

Epidemic forecasting has become an integral part of real-time infectious disease outbreak response. While collaborative ensembles composed of statistical and machine learning models have become the norm for real-time forecasting, standardized benchmark datasets for evaluating such methods are lacking. Further, there is limited understanding on performance of these methods for novel outbreaks with limited historical data. In this paper, we propose IDOBE, a curated collection of epidemiological time series focused on outbreak forecasting. IDOBE compiles from multiple data repositories spanning over a century of surveillance and across U.S. states and global locations. We perform derivative-...

AuthorsAniruddha Adiga, Jingyuan Chou, Anshul Chiranth et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published20 April 2026
Last updated at source29 April 2026
cs.LGcs.AIq-bio.PE
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