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Paper · arXiv

Predicting Where Steering Vectors Succeed

Steering vectors work for some concepts and layers but fail for others, and practitioners have no way to predict which setting applies before running an intervention. We introduce the Linear Accessibility Profile (LAP), a per-layer diagnostic that repurposes the logit lens as a predictor of steering vector effectiveness. The key measure, $A_{\mathrm{lin}}$, applies the model's unembedding matrix to intermediate hidden states, requiring no training. Across 24 controlled binary concept families on five models (Pythia-2.8B to Llama-8B), peak $A_{\mathrm{lin}}$ predicts steering effectiveness at $ρ= +0.86$ to $+0.91$ and layer selection at $ρ= +0.63$ to $+0.92$. A three-regime framework expla...

AuthorsJayadev Billa
Primary categorycs.LG
Published16 April 2026
Last updated at source16 April 2026
cs.LGcs.CL
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