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Paper · arXiv

Outperforming Self-Attention Mechanisms in Solar Irradiance Forecasting via Physics-Guided Neural Networks

Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting is critical for grid stability, particularly in arid regions characterized by rapid aerosol fluctuations. While recent trends favor computationally expensive Transformer-based architectures, this paper challenges the prevailing "complexity-first" paradigm. We propose a lightweight, Physics-Informed Hybrid CNN-BiLSTM framework that prioritizes domain knowledge over architectural depth. The model integrates a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for spatial feature extraction with a Bi-Directional LSTM for capturing temporal dependencies. Unlike standard data-driven approaches, our model is explicitly guided by a vector of 15 engineered ...

AuthorsMohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah, Rufaidah Abdallah Ibrahim Mohammed
Primary categorycs.LG
Published15 April 2026
Last updated at source17 April 2026
cs.LGcs.AIeess.SY
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