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Paper · arXiv

Sample Complexity of Autoregressive Reasoning: Chain-of-Thought vs. End-to-End

Modern large language models generate text autoregressively, producing tokens one at a time. To study the learnability of such systems, Joshi et al. (COLT 2025) introduced a PAC-learning framework for next-token generators, the primitive underlying autoregressive models. In this framework, an unknown next-token generator maps a sequence of tokens to the next token and is iteratively applied for $T$ steps, producing a chain of tokens whose final token constitutes the model's output. The learning task is to learn the input-output mapping induced by this autoregressive process. Depending on the available supervision, training examples may reveal only the final output (End-to-End supervision)...

AuthorsSteve Hanneke, Idan Mehalel, Shay Moran
Primary categorycs.LG
Published13 April 2026
Last updated at source18 April 2026
cs.LG
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