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Paper · arXiv

Confident in a Confidence Score: Investigating the Sensitivity of Confidence Scores to Supervised Fine-Tuning

Uncertainty quantification techniques measure confidence in language model outputs to support critical applications like hallucination detection and selective prediction. While prior work has developed various confidence metrics and demonstrated their calibration for classification tasks or using verbalized confidence, the robustness of probability-based and self-consistency-based UQ metrics for natural language generation remains underexplored particularly under model adaptation. Since practitioners routinely apply supervised fine-tuning to adapt models to new tasks, a key question arises: do confidence metrics maintain their calibration when models are fine-tuned? We investigate this qu...

AuthorsLorenzo Jaime Yu Flores, Cesare Spinoso di-Piano, Jackie Chi Kit Cheung
Primary categorycs.CL
Published10 April 2026
Last updated at source18 September 2026
cs.CL
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