The Hiremath Early Detection (HED) Score: A Measure-Theoretic Evaluation Standard for Temporal Intelligence
We introduce the Hiremath Early Detection (HED) Score, a principled, measure-theoretic evaluation criterion for quantifying the time-value of information in systems operating over non-stationary stochastic processes subject to abrupt regime transitions. Existing evaluation paradigms, chiefly the ROC/AUC framework and its downstream variants, are temporally agnostic: they assign identical credit to a detection at t + 1 and a detection at t + tau for arbitrarily large tau. This indifference to latency is a fundamental inadequacy in time-critical domains including cyber-physical security, algorithmic surveillance, and epidemiological monitoring. The HED Score resolves this by integrating a b...
| Authors | Prakul Sunil Hiremath |
|---|---|
| Primary category | stat.ML |
| Published | 5 April 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 5 April 2026 |
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